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close this bookBriefs for Food, Agriculture, and the Environment - 2020 Vision : Brief 1 - 64 (IFPRI)
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View the document2020 BRIEF 1 - AUGUST 1994: ECONOMIC GROWTH AND DEVELOPMENT
View the document2020 BRIEF 2 - AUGUST 1994: WORLD SUPPLY AND DEMAND PROJECTIONS FOR CEREALS, 2020
View the document2020 BRIEF 3 - AUGUST 1994: WORLD PRODUCTION OF CEREALS, 1966-90
View the document2020 BRIEF 4 - AUGUST 1994: SUSTAINABLE FARMING: A POLITICAL GEOGRAPHY
View the document2020 BRIEF 5 - OCTOBER 1994: WORLD POPULATION PROJECTIONS, 2020
View the document2020 BRIEF 6 - OCTOBER 1994: MALNUTRITION AND FOOD INSECURITY PROJECTIONS, 2020
View the document2020 BRIEF 7 - OCTOBER 1994: AGRICULTURAL GROWTH AS A KEY TO POVERTY ALLEVIATION
View the document2020 BRIEF 8 - OCTOBER 1994: CONSERVATION AND ENHANCEMENT OF NATURAL RESOURCES
View the document2020 BRIEF 9 - FEBRUARY 1995: THE ROLE OF AGRICULTURE IN SAVING THE RAIN FOREST
View the document2020 BRIEF 10 - FEBRUARY 1995: A TIME OF PLENTY, A WORLD OF NEED: THE ROLE OF FOOD AID IN 2020
View the document2020 BRIEF 11 - FEBRUARY 1995: MANAGING AGRICULTURAL INTENSIFICATION
View the document2020 BRIEF 12 - FEBRUARY 1995: TRADE LIBERALIZATION AND REGIONAL INTEGRATION: IMPLICATIONS FOR 2020
View the document2020 BRIEF 13 - APRIL 1995: THE POTENTIAL OF TECHNOLOGY TO MEET WORLD FOOD NEEDS IN 2020
View the document2020 BRIEF 14 - APRIL 1995: AN ECOREGIONAL PERSPECTIVE ON MALNUTRITION
View the document2020 BRIEF 15 - APRIL 1995: AGRICULTURAL GROWTH IS THE KEY TO POVERTY ALLEVIATION IN LOW-INCOME DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
View the document2020 BRIEF 16 - APRIL 1995: DECLINING ASSISTANCE TO DEVELOPING-COUNTRY AGRICULTURE: CHANGE OF PARADIGM?
View the document2020 BRIEF 17 - MAY 1995: GENERATING FOOD SECURITY IN THE YEAR 2020: WOMEN AS PRODUCERS, GATEKEEPERS, AND SHOCK ABSORBERS
View the document2020 BRIEF 18 - MAY 1995: BIOPHYSICAL LIMITS TO GLOBAL FOOD PRODUCTION
View the document2020 BRIEF 19 - MAY 1995: CAUSES OF HUNGER
View the document2020 BRIEF 20 - MAY 1995: CHINA AND THE FUTURE GLOBAL FOOD SITUATION
View the document2020 BRIEF 21 - JUNE 1995: DEALING WITH WATER SCARCITY IN THE NEXT CENTURY
View the document2020 BRIEF 22 - JUNE 1995: THE RIGHT TO FOOD: WIDELY ACKNOWLEDGED AND POORLY PROTECTED
View the document2020 BRIEF 23 - JUNE 1995: CEREALS PROSPECTS IN INDIA TO 2020: IMPLICATIONS FOR POLICY
View the document2020 BRIEF 24 - JUNE 1995: REVAMPING AGRICULTURAL R&D
View the document2020 BRIEF 25 - AUGUST 1995: MORE THAN FOOD IS NEEDED TO ACHIEVE GOOD NUTRITION BY 2020
View the document2020 BRIEF 26 - AUGUST 1995: PERSPECTIVES ON EUROPEAN AGRICULTURE IN 2020
View the document2020 BRIEF 27 - AUGUST 1995: NONDEGRADING LAND USE STRATEGIES FOR TROPICAL HILLSIDES
View the document2020 BRIEF 28 - AUGUST 1995: EMPLOYMENT PROGRAMS FOR FOOD SECURITY IN SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
View the document2020 BRIEF 29 - AUGUST 1995: POVERTY, FOOD SECURITY, AND THE ENVIRONMENT
View the document2020 BRIEF 30 - JANUARY 1996: RISING FOOD PRICES AND FALLING GRAIN STOCKS: SHORT-RUN BLIPS OR NEW TRENDS?
View the document2020 BRIEF 31 - APRIL 1996: MIDDLE EAST WATER CONFLICTS AND DIRECTIONS FOR CONFLICT RESOLUTION
View the document2020 BRIEF 32 - APRIL 1996: THE TRANSITION IN THE CONTRIBUTION OF LIVING AQUATIC RESOURCES TO FOOD SECURITY
View the document2020 BRIEF 33 - JUNE 1996: MANAGING RESOURCES FOR SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURE IN SOUTH ASIA
View the document2020 BRIEF 34 - JUNE 1996: IMPLEMENTING THE URUGUAY ROUND: INCREASED FOOD PRICE STABILITY BY 2020?
View the document2020 BRIEF 35 - JULY 1996: SOCIOPOLITICAL EFFECTS OF NEW BIOTECHNOLOGIES IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
View the document2020 BRIEF 36 - OCTOBER 1996: RUSSIA'S FOOD ECONOMY IN TRANSITION: WHAT DO REFORMS MEAN FOR THE LONG-TERM OUTLOOK?
View the document2020 BRIEF 37 - OCTOBER 1996: UNCOMMON OPPORTUNITIES FOR ACHIEVING SUSTAINABLE FOOD AND NUTRITION SECURITY - An Agenda for Science and Public Policy
View the document2020 BRIEF 38 - OCTOBER 1996: WORLD TRENDS IN FERTILIZER USE AND PROJECTIONS TO 2020
View the document2020 BRIEF 39 - OCTOBER 1996: REDUCING POVERTY AND PROTECTING THE ENVIRONMENT: THE OVERLOOKED POTENTIAL OF LESS-FAVORED LANDS
View the document2020 BRIEF 40 - OCTOBER 1996: POLICIES TO PROMOTE ENVIRONMENTALLY SUSTAINABLE FERTILIZER USE AND SUPPLY TO 2020
View the document2020 BRIEF 41 - DECEMBER 1996: STRUCTURAL CHANGES IN THE DEMAND FOR FOOD IN ASIA
View the document2020 BRIEF 42 - MARCH 1997: AFRICA'S CHANGING AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT STRATEGIES
View the document2020 BRIEF 43 - JUNE 1997: THE POTENTIAL IMPACT OF AIDS ON POPULATION AND ECONOMIC GROWTH RATES
View the document2020 BRIEF 44 - JUNE 1997: LAND DEGRADATION IN THE DEVELOPING WORLD: ISSUES AND POLICY OPTIONS FOR 2020
View the document2020 BRIEF 45 - JUNE 1997: AGRICULTURE, TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE, AND THE ENVIRONMENT IN LATIN AMERICA: A 2020 PERSPECTIVE
View the document2020 BRIEF 46 - JUNE 1997: AGRICULTURE, TRADE, AND REGIONALISM IN SOUTH ASIA
View the document2020 BRIEF 47 - AUGUST 1997: THE NONFARM SECTOR AND RURAL DEVELOPMENT: REVIEW OF ISSUES AND EVIDENCE
View the document2020 BRIEF 48 - FEBRUARY 1998: CHALLENGES TO THE 2020 VISION FOR LATIN AMERICA: FOOD AND AGRICULTURE SINCE 1970
View the document2020 BRIEF 49 - APRIL 1998: NUTRITION SECURITY IN URBAN AREAS OF LATIN AMERICA
View the document2020 BRIEF 50 - JUNE 1998: FOOD FROM PEACE: BREAKING THE LINKS BETWEEN CONFLICT AND HUNGER
View the document2020 BRIEF 51 - JULY 1998: TECHNOLOGICAL OPPORTUNITIES FOR SUSTAINING WHEAT PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH TOWARD 2020
View the document2020 BRIEF 52 - SEPTEMBER 1998: PEST MANAGEMENT AND FOOD PRODUCTION: LOOKING TO THE FUTURE
View the document2020 BRIEF 53 - OCTOBER 1998: POPULATION GROWTH AND POLICY OPTIONS IN THE DEVELOPING WORLD
View the document2020 BRIEF 54 - OCTOBER 1998: FOSTERING GLOBAL WELL-BEING: A NEW PARADIGM TO REVITALIZE AGRICULTURAL AND RURAL DEVELOPMENT
View the document2020 BRIEF 55 - OCTOBER 1998: THE POTENTIAL OF AGROECOLOGY TO COMBAT HUNGER IN THE DEVELOPING WORLD
View the document2020 RESUMEN No. 56 - OCTUBRE DE 1998: AYUDA A LA AGRICULTURA EN LOS PAÍSES EN DESARROLLO: INVERSIONES EN LA REDUCCIÓN DE LA POBREZA Y NUEVAS OPORTUNIDADES DE EXPORTACIÓN
View the document2020 BRIEF 57 - OCTOBER 1998: ECONOMIC CRISIS IN ASIA: A FUTURE OF DIMINISHING GROWTH AND INCREASING POVERTY?
View the document2020 BRIEF 58 - FEBRUARY 1999: SOIL DEGRADATION: A THREAT TO DEVELOPING-COUNTRY FOOD SECURITY BY 20207
View the document2020 BRIEF 59 - MARCH 1999: AGRICULTURAL GROWTH, POVERTY ALLEVIATION, AND ENVIRONMENTAL SUSTAINABILITY: HAVING IT ALL
View the document2020 BRIEF 60 - MAY 1999: CRITICAL CHOICES FOR CHINA'S AGRICULTURAL POLICY
View the document2020 BRIEF 61 - MAY 1999: LIVESTOCK TO 2020: THE NEXT FOOD REVOLUTION
View the document2020 BRIEF 62 - OCTOBER 1999: NUTRIENT DEPLETION IN THE AGRICULTURAL SOILS OF AFRICA
View the document2020 BRIEF 63 - NOVEMBER 1999: PROSPECTS FOR INDIA'S CEREAL SUPPLY AND DEMAND TO 2020
View the document2020 BRIEF 64 - FEBRUARY 2000: OVERCOMING CHILD MALNUTRITION IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES: PAST ACHIEVEMENTS AND FUTURE CHOICES
View the document2020 BRIEF 65 - MARCH 2000: COMBINING INTERNAL AND EXTERNAL INPUTS FOR SUSTAINABLE INTENSIFICATION

2020 BRIEF 35 - JULY 1996: SOCIOPOLITICAL EFFECTS OF NEW BIOTECHNOLOGIES IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES

Klaus M. Leisinger

Klaus M. Leisinger is vice chairman and executive director of the Ciba-Geigy Foundation for Cooperation with Developing Countries and associate professor of development sociology, University of Basel, Switzerland.

Assuring food security for the next 25 years requires meeting a number of political, social, economic, and technical challenges. One of these is the successful use of new biotechnologies in agriculture. Research in recombinant genetics and biotechnology aims to develop plant varieties that provide reliable high yields at the same or lower costs by breeding in qualities such as resistance to disease, pests, and stress factors such as aridity. Realization of these goals could lead to tremendous gains in food production. However, biotechnology is now evoking the same objections that have been raised against the Green Revolution - that its benefits are distributed inequitably in favor of the large, rich farmers and that it is potentially environmentally destructive.

The sociopolitical ramifications of new agricultural biotechnologies in developing countries are extremely complex. Not only do they vary by country and by sector within each country, but they also vary for different segments of a country's population. Sound domestic policies and international cooperation can go a long way toward reducing the sociopolitical risks of these new technologies.

THE NEED FOR BIOTECHNOLOGY

Over the last three decades, food output in developing countries, with the help of Green Revolution technologies, has increased at a faster rate overall than population growth. This success, however, should not engender complacency about the food situation in coming decades. Growth rates in yields have been decreasing in several parts of the world recently, and this declining trend is expected to continue. At current rates of growth, the world's food supply will not be sufficient to feed the increasing population over the next 25 years, even if current per capita levels of consumption do not rise. In many countries, especially in Africa, food self-sufficiency is on the decline (Table 1).

Also, although the share of the world's population affected by hunger has decreased over the last three decades, the extent of undernutrition is still unacceptably large, and several regions are suffering from worse poverty and malnutrition than 30 years ago. Although the problems of hunger and malnutrition are complex and production increases alone cannot solve them, it is one of the necessary interventions. The Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) estimates that for malnourishment to be eradicated by 2010, food output will have to more than double.

In light of these conditions, an international conference of experts convened by the World Bank, the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP), and FAO in 1992 concluded that a solution to the problem of securing world food supplies while preserving the environment is virtually inconceivable without recombinant genetics and biotechnology.

THE SOCIOPOLITICAL RAMIFICATIONS OF BIOTECHNOLOGY

The risks from any technology must be divided into those inherent to the technology and those that transcend it. Technology-inherent risks of agricultural biotechnology, such as undesirable mutations, must be dealt with appropriately by the biological sciences. The transcendent risks are outside of the biotechnology; they are the social, economic, and cultural factors that may distort or obstruct its benefits.

Three main sociopolitical concerns exist. First, biotechnology may aggravate the prosperity gap between the North and South by replacing tropical agricultural exports with genetically engineered products produced in the North. Genetically produced vanilla flavoring - to take the most quoted example - could displace 70,000 small farmers in Madagascar. Genetically improved cocoa varieties could displace thousands of smallholder farmers in West Africa in favor of plantation farmers in the newly industrialized economies of Asia. Genetic production of sweeteners could displace the total sugarcane exports of Cuba and Mauritius.

The process of consumer substitution of new biotech products for current tropical exports cannot be forestalled, even by sizable (and undesirable) government intervention. The solution must therefore lie in a concerted international endeavor to diversify the production structure in vulnerable economies. Better governance - that is, more appropriate domestic policies - as well as more efficient allocation of funds from the international development community to support such diversification efforts, is required.

A second sociopolitical concern is the exploitation of indigenous genetic resources without appropriate compensation to indigenous populations. Some people fear that multinational firms or even government research institutes could gain control of genes of plants native to the developing world free of charge and use them to produce superior patented varieties that would then be sold back to developing countries at high prices.

Undeniably, it is urgent to keep open access to the genetic riches of the developing world and at the same time enable the people who have helped to build and preserve this wealth through decades of indigenous selection to benefit equitably from the commercial returns on gene exports. Article 19 of the Rio Convention on Biological Diversity of 1992 established that remuneration is due to developing countries for genetic material.

A step in the direction of satisfying both sides' claims to compensation would be to work out binding national and international regulations. However, the technical details concerning who should receive compensation, in what form, and how, so that the remuneration does not end up in the hands of the politically powerful, are still unclear. One solution would be to funnel compensation into development cooperation or into the Consultative Group on International Agricultural Research (CGIAR) system in order to create agricultural value added for the regions the genes come from.

The third area of sociopolitical concern is the increased inequality in the distribution of income and wealth that biotechnology might create, because the privileged classes derive earlier and greater benefits from the introduction of powerful technologies than do the socially disadvantaged. The use of biotechnology can no doubt provide real incentives to agricultural development, but in a socially and politically defective setting, it is much more likely to favor a small and powerful minority than to improve conditions for the poor. Without social reforms that enable the middle and lower strata of society to share in the gain, such as land reform and special support programs for small farmers, technological innovations can work against the development goal of equity.

The sociopolitical risks of agricultural biotechnology cannot be resolved by blaming, changing, or discarding technology. The only solution lies in addressing the risk-creating sociopolitical distortions through good governance and appropriate policies.

Table 1 - Food security in selected developing countries


Average Annual Growth Rate



Population,

Food Production Per Capita,

Degree of Self Sufficiency

Country

1991-2000

1979-91

1971

1990


(percent)

(1979-81 =100)

Low-income countries


Bangladesh

1.9

-0.6

97

87


Ethiopia

2.7

-1.4

99

87


Malawi

3.1

-2.7

101

94


Mozambique

2.9

-3.1

89

54


Niger

3.5

-3.4

108

93

Middle-income countries


Dominican Republic

1.6

-2.6

64

35


Jordan

4.0

-1.2

48

9


Philippines

1.9

-1.9

94

83


Syria

3.4

-2.9

76

69

Sources: World Bank, World development report 1993: Investment in health (Washington, D.C.: World Bank, 1993); Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, Agriculture Towards 2010, 27th Session, November 6-25, 1993, Rome.

DIFFERENT COUNTRIES, DIFFERENT EFFECTS

When considering the social and economic effects of new technologies, it is not appropriate to lump together all developing countries, with all their social, economic, and cultural differences. Countries must be differentiated on the basis of factors such as their research capacity, institutional arrangements for stimulating biotech development, share of agriculture in overall exports, whether the country is a net exporter or importer of agricultural products, and the size distribution of farmers in the country. Countries must assess the impact on their economy and society in the context of these factors, and design their technology investment and sociopolitical reform strategies accordingly.

In a 1993 study, P. Commandeur and G. von Roozendaal assessed the impact of biotechnology on different countries and concluded the following:

· High food importers with strong technological potential could benefit the most, since the trends would push their economies toward self-sufficiency.

· High food exporters with strong technological potential could benefit by diversifying their exports.

· Net importers of food with weak technological potential could benefit in the short term from lower world prices. In the long term, domestic food production would suffer.

· Countries that are net exporters of potentially substitutable products and have low technological potential are the most vulnerable. This category includes most of Sub-Saharan Africa and the Caribbean.

ROLES PLAYED BY THE PUBLIC AND PRIVATE SECTORS

To prevent a further widening of the productivity, and hence affluence, gap between the North and the South, and to develop the biotechnology needed by developing countries and poorer farmers, public research is urgently needed at both the international and national levels. Most biotech research is currently concentrated in the private sector and in the North. Since private biotechnology companies operate with a profit motive, they will concentrate on solutions to be marketed primarily in rich industrial nations. However, public sector research could save time and resources through cooperation that makes the knowledge generated by the private sector available through donation of technology or favorable licenses to the public sector. Unfortunately, funding for public research at both the international and the country level is falling rather than rising.

Biotechnology offers no silver bullet for food security - there are no silver bullets - but biotechnology is an important instrument in the difficult fight against hunger. The sociopolitical obstacles must be removed not only for the successful implementation of biotechnology, but also for an equitable and sustainable tomorrow for the world.