Emerging Patterns of HIV Incidence in Uganda and other East African Countries (International Center for Migration and Health - ICMH, 1997, 97 pages)
AN ASSESSMENT OF EMERGING PATTERNS OF HIV INCIDENCE IN UGANDA AND OTHER EAST AFRICAN COUNTRIES
(introductory text...)
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
1.0 Objective of the Consultation
2.0 Terms of Reference - methods and activities
3.0 HIV prevalence declines in antenatal sentinel surveillance sites in Uganda
4.0 Simulation modelling of HIV incidence dynamics in Uganda with validation to Kampala ANC sentinel surveillance.
5.0 Declines in HIV incidence/prevalence in urban and semi-urban areas of Uganda: - determinants and analyses of data sources.
6.0 Evidence for a causal association between urban and semi-urban declines in prevalence and behaviour change in Uganda: - External validation of findings and hypothesis testing through comparative analyses of HIV dynamics and risk behaviours in Uganda, Malawi and Zambia.
7.0 Population movement and implications for the dynamics of emerging infectious diseases in sub-Saharan Africa: - the social and demographic context.
8.0 Linkage of HIV incidence and prevalence patterns deduced from surveillance and other data sources and relationship to interventions: - Summary findings and recommendations.